06 Aug · 03:40 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MM
🇵🇱Michal Minda
ELO 1531
1-3Final setsLinek won
AL
🇵🇱Adam Linek
ELO 1430
What the model said
Before the match, the model favoured Minda at 57%. The actual result was Adam Linek 1-3 — the underdog won.
How the markets settled
The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.
Match winner
Michal Minda favoured — closing 1.57
Total 77.5
85 points played
Set handicap
Michal Minda −1.5 sets
Points handicap
Michal Minda −3.5 points
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Win probability
Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Michal Minda is favoured to win, below means Adam Linek.
▲ Michal Mindapre 54% → final 12%
Adam Linek ▼
Biggest swing 67 ptsLinek recovered from 27%72 points · 4 games