6 Aug · 08:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
KK
🇵🇱Krzysztof Kotyl
ELO 1378
FormWWLWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Klocek
KK
🇵🇱Kamil Klocek
ELO 1424
FormWLWWW
45%
55%
Fair odds · Klocek
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 60% · 1.67· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
1-3
22%
3-1
18%
0-3
18%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+46
H2H14-10
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+46)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (14-10)