6 Aug · 08:00 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MC
🇵🇱Milosz Cesarz
ELO 1279
FormLLWWL
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Burkacki
AB
🇵🇱Adrian Burkacki
ELO 1390
FormWLLWW
38%
62%
🌟Cesarz goes over total as underdog 70% (30)
Fair odds · Burkacki
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~78 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
23%
2-3
15%
3-1
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+111
H2H2-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+111)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-1)