6 Aug · 07:35 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
AR
🇵🇱Adam Ruszkiewicz
ELO 1411
FormWLWLL
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Lebek
ML
🇵🇱Marian Lebek
ELO 1536
FormLWWLL
37%
63%
🌟Ruszkiewicz covers set handicap as underdog 66% (32)
Fair odds · Lebek
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 77% · 1.31· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~76 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
23%
2-3
16%
3-1
14%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+125
H2H25-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+125)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (25-1)