6 Aug · 07:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
KR
🇵🇱Kamil Rudomina
ELO 1469
FormWLLLW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Minda
MM
🇵🇱Michal Minda
ELO 1536
FormWLWWW
43%
57%
Fair odds · Minda
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 48% · 2.07· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~77 pts
1-3
22%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+67
H2H57-55
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+67)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (57-55)