6 Aug · 09:10 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MC
🇵🇱Milosz Cesarz
ELO 1271
FormLLLWW
73%Win chancemodel fair 1.37Urban
WU
🇵🇱Wojciech Urban
ELO 1494
FormWWWLL
27%
73%
🌟Urban rarely covers set handicap as favourite 30% (33)
Fair odds · Urban
Model 73% · 1.37vsMarket 71% · 1.41· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 58%Total ~76 pts
0-3
31%
1-3
26%
2-3
15%
3-2
11%
3-1
10%
Elo Gap+223
H2H7-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+223)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (7-1)