6 Aug · 08:55 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
KS
🇵🇱Karol Sulkowski
ELO 1320
FormWLLWL
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Mleczko
BM
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Mleczko
ELO 1459
FormLWWLL
35%
65%
🌟Mleczko rarely covers set handicap as favourite 25% (24)
Fair odds · Mleczko
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~77 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
24%
2-3
16%
3-1
14%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+139
H2H6-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+139)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (6-5)