6 Aug · 08:50 MESZLow · Slight Edge
KR
🇵🇱Kamil Rudomina
ELO 1469
FormWLLLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Rudomina
AL
🇵🇱Adam Linek
ELO 1438
FormWWWWL
54%
46%
🌟Linek covers set handicap as underdog 84% (19)
Fair odds · Rudomina
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 62% · 1.63· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
18%
3-0
17%
3-2
15%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+31
H2H40-39
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.