6 Aug · 11:25 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
KS
🇵🇱Karol Sulkowski
ELO 1319
FormWLWLL
70%Win chancemodel fair 1.43Lilien
AL
🇵🇱Aleksander Lilien
ELO 1507
FormLWWWW
30%
70%
Fair odds · Lilien
Model 70% · 1.43vsMarket 61% · 1.63· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 53%Total ~77 pts
1-3
27%
0-3
25%
2-3
17%
3-1
12%
3-2
11%
Elo Gap+188
H2H20-15
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+188)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (20-15)