6 Aug · 12:10 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
BM
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Mleczko
ELO 1468
FormWWWLL
66%Win chancemodel fair 1.52Mleczko
KS
🇵🇱Karol Sulkowski
ELO 1315
FormLWLWL
66%
34%
🌟Mleczko rarely covers set handicap as favourite 25% (24)
Fair odds · Mleczko
Model 66% · 1.52vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~77 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
24%
3-2
16%
1-3
13%
2-3
12%
Elo Gap+153
H2H7-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+153)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (7-5)