6 Aug · 15:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
KW
🇵🇱Karol Wisniewski
ELO 1584
FormLLLWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Filbrandt
TF
🇵🇱Tomasz Filbrandt
ELO 1599
FormLLWWW
48%
52%
🌟Filbrandt rarely covers set handicap as favourite 28% (40)
Fair odds · Filbrandt
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 44% · 2.27· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
19%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+15
H2H25-18
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.