6 Aug · 14:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
KS
🇵🇱Karol Sulkowski
ELO 1319
FormLWLWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Warpas
BW
🇵🇱Blazej Warpas
ELO 1360
FormLWLLL
45%
55%
Fair odds · Warpas
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~79 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
18%
0-3
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+41
H2H3-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+41)