6 Aug · 14:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
GP
🇵🇱Grzegorz Poliniewicz
ELO 1638
FormWWWWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Benes
MB
🇵🇱Michal Benes
ELO 1680
FormWLLLW
45%
55%
🌟Benes rarely covers set handicap as favourite 31% (16)
Fair odds · Benes
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 57% · 1.75· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
18%
0-3
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+42
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+42)