6 Aug · 17:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PK
🇵🇱Patrik Klos
ELO 1765
FormWWWLL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Klos
MB
🇵🇱Michal Benes
ELO 1689
FormWWLLL
58%
42%
Fair odds · Klos
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~78 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
19%
3-2
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+76
H2H5-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+76)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-2)