6 Aug · 20:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
KR
🇵🇱Kazimierz Rybak
ELO 1226
FormLLLLL
80%Win chancemodel fair 1.25Baran
MB
🇵🇱Mateusz Baran
ELO 1540
FormWWLLW
20%
80%
🌟Baran goes over total as favourite 64% (22)
Fair odds · Baran
Model 80% · 1.25vsMarket 81% · 1.23· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 68%Total ~73 pts
0-3
40%
1-3
28%
2-3
12%
3-2
9%
3-1
7%
Elo Gap+314
H2H2-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+314)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-0)