Marcin Kowalczyk vs Jaroslaw Rolak — TT Elite Series

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06 Aug · 15:25 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct

🇵🇱Marcin Kowalczyk

ELO 1393

3-2Final setsKowalczyk won

🇵🇱Jaroslaw Rolak

ELO 1331

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Kowalczyk at 52%. The actual result was Marcin Kowalczyk 3-2 — the pick was correct.

Marcin Kowalczyk — profile →Jaroslaw Rolak — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Jaroslaw Rolak favoured — closing 1.6

Upset

Total 77.5

97 points played

Over

Set handicap

Jaroslaw Rolak −1.5 sets

No cover

Points handicap

Jaroslaw Rolak −3.5 points

No cover

Total sets 4.5

over / under

Over

Exact score

market priced 3-2 at close

4.55

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Marcin Kowalczyk is favoured to win, below means Jaroslaw Rolak.

▲ Marcin Kowalczykpre 56% → final 91%

Jaroslaw Rolak ▼

Biggest swing 51 ptsKowalczyk recovered from 44%72 points · 5 games