6 Aug · 20:30 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MK
🇵🇱Marcin Kowalczyk
ELO 1393
FormLWWWL
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Kowalczyk
MP
🇵🇱Milosz Piecowski
ELO 1278
FormLLLWL
63%
37%
🔥 Underdog lean · Piecowski🌟Piecowski covers set handicap as underdog 90% (21)
Fair odds · Kowalczyk
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~78 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
23%
3-2
15%
1-3
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+115
H2H2-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+115)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)