6 Aug · 20:25 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
PG
🇵🇱Pawel Gasiorski
ELO 1768
FormWWLWL
67%Win chancemodel fair 1.49Gasiorski
KA
🇵🇱Kacper Adamus
ELO 1613
FormWWWWW
67%
33%
Fair odds · Gasiorski
Model 67% · 1.49vsMarket 71% · 1.41· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~77 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
24%
3-2
16%
1-3
13%
2-3
12%
Elo Gap+155
H2H2-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+155)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-1)