6 Aug · 19:35 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MT
🇵🇱Marek Tkocz
ELO 1608
FormWLLWL
64%Win chancemodel fair 1.56Tkocz
KJ
🇵🇱Krzysztof Juszczyk
ELO 1477
FormLLLWL
64%
36%
🌟Juszczyk goes over total as underdog 75% (16)
Fair odds · Tkocz
Model 64% · 1.56vsMarket 55% · 1.81· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~76 pts
3-1
25%
3-0
23%
3-2
16%
1-3
14%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+131
H2H8-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+131)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-7)