6 Aug · 22:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MT
🇵🇱Marek Tkocz
ELO 1602
FormWLWLL
68%Win chancemodel fair 1.47Gasiorski
PG
🇵🇱Pawel Gasiorski
ELO 1769
FormWWWLW
32%
68%
Fair odds · Gasiorski
Model 68% · 1.47vsMarket 63% · 1.58· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~76 pts
1-3
26%
0-3
25%
2-3
17%
3-1
13%
3-2
12%
Elo Gap+167
H2H3-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+167)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-1)