6 Aug · 21:55 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
HT
🇵🇱Henryk Tkaczyk
ELO 1609
FormLWWLL
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Tkaczyk
JM
🇵🇱Jerzy Michalik
ELO 1504
FormLWLWL
61%
39%
🌟Tkaczyk stays under total as favourite 71% (45)
Fair odds · Tkaczyk
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 68% · 1.48· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~75 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
22%
3-2
15%
1-3
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+105
H2H55-27
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+105)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (55-27)