6 Aug · 21:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MK
🇵🇱Marcin Kowalczyk
ELO 1383
FormLLWWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Kowalczyk
MP
🇵🇱Miroslaw Piecowski
ELO 1331
FormWWWWL
56%
44%
🌟Kowalczyk rarely covers set handicap as favourite 23% (26)
Fair odds · Kowalczyk
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 65% · 1.54· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~78 pts
3-1
22%
3-0
18%
1-3
18%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+52
H2H12-12
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+52)