6 Aug · 22:45 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JP
🇵🇱Jakub Pruszkowski
ELO 1592
FormWWLWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Adamus
KA
🇵🇱Kacper Adamus
ELO 1617
FormWLWWW
47%
53%
🌟Pruszkowski goes over total as underdog 67% (12)
Fair odds · Adamus
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 41% · 2.43· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~79 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
19%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+25
H2H23-38
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.