6 Aug · 23:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
KM
🇵🇱Kacper Marchlewski
ELO 1281
FormLWLWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Golaszewski
KG
🇵🇱Kuba Golaszewski
ELO 1324
FormWLWWW
45%
55%
🌟Golaszewski rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (26)
Fair odds · Golaszewski
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 52% · 1.93· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~82 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
18%
0-3
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+43
H2H5-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+43)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-1)