7 Aug · 00:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
ML
🇵🇱Marian Lebek
ELO 1539
FormWWWLL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Tkocz
MT
🇵🇱Marek Tkocz
ELO 1620
FormWWWLW
41%
59%
🌟Lebek stays under total as underdog 68% (22)
Fair odds · Tkocz
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 60% · 1.66· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~76 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+81
H2H44-52
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+81)