7 Aug · 00:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MP
🇵🇱Miroslaw Piecowski
ELO 1316
FormLLWWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Piecowski
MP
🇵🇱Milosz Piecowski
ELO 1284
FormWWWLL
54%
46%
🌟Piecowski covers set handicap as underdog 90% (21)
Fair odds · Piecowski
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 21% · 4.80· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~79 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
18%
3-0
17%
3-2
15%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+32
H2H3-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.