7 Aug · 03:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
HT
🇵🇱Henryk Tkaczyk
ELO 1639
FormWWWWW
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Tkaczyk
JM
🇵🇱Jerzy Michalik
ELO 1502
FormWLWLL
65%
35%
🌟Tkaczyk stays under total as favourite 71% (45)
Fair odds · Tkaczyk
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 68% · 1.46· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~77 pts
3-1
25%
3-0
24%
3-2
16%
1-3
14%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+137
H2H56-27
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+137)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (56-27)