7 Aug · 05:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
AM
🇵🇱Adrian Myszewski
ELO 1436
FormLLLWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Dabrowski
ID
🇵🇱Igor Dabrowski
ELO 1460
FormWLWWW
47%
53%
Fair odds · Dabrowski
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~79 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
19%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+24
H2H21-13
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.