7 Aug · 05:00 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MB
🇵🇱Marcin Balcerzak
ELO 1611
FormLLWLL
64%Win chancemodel fair 1.56Balcerzak
AL
🇵🇱Aleksander Lilien
ELO 1485
FormLLLLW
64%
36%
🌟Balcerzak goes over total as favourite 75% (16)
Fair odds · Balcerzak
Model 64% · 1.56vsMarket 75% · 1.34· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~78 pts
3-1
25%
3-0
23%
3-2
16%
1-3
14%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+126
H2H15-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+126)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (15-4)