7 Aug · 05:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
KS
🇵🇱Karol Sulkowski
ELO 1309
FormLLLWL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Kotyl
KK
🇵🇱Krzysztof Kotyl
ELO 1380
FormLWWWL
42%
58%
Fair odds · Kotyl
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 47% · 2.11· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~76 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+71
H2H19-23
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+71)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)