7 Aug · 06:10 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
AM
🇵🇱Adrian Myszewski
ELO 1436
FormLLLWW
64%Win chancemodel fair 1.56Myszewski
KS
🇵🇱Karol Sulkowski
ELO 1309
FormLLLWL
64%
36%
Fair odds · Myszewski
Model 64% · 1.56vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~78 pts
3-1
25%
3-0
23%
3-2
16%
1-3
14%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+127
H2H8-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+127)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-5)