7 Aug · 06:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MB
🇵🇱Marcin Balcerzak
ELO 1611
FormLLWLL
67%Win chancemodel fair 1.49Balcerzak
MM
🇵🇱Mateusz Misiak
ELO 1452
FormWLWWW
67%
33%
🌟Balcerzak goes over total as favourite 75% (16)
Fair odds · Balcerzak
Model 67% · 1.49vsMarket 78% · 1.28· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~73 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
24%
3-2
16%
1-3
13%
2-3
12%
Elo Gap+159
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+159)