7 Aug · 07:15 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
KS
🇵🇱Karol Sulkowski
ELO 1316
FormWLLLW
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Dabrowski
ID
🇵🇱Igor Dabrowski
ELO 1454
FormLWLWW
35%
65%
Fair odds · Dabrowski
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 63% · 1.59· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~76 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
24%
2-3
16%
3-1
14%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+138
H2H26-17
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+138)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (26-17)