7 Aug · 06:55 MESZLow · Coin Flip
BS
🇵🇱Bartosz Sulkowski
ELO 1373
FormWLLWW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Kotyl
KK
🇵🇱Krzysztof Kotyl
ELO 1373
FormLLWWW
50%
50%
🌟Sulkowski goes over total as underdog 75% (24)
Fair odds · Kotyl
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 55% · 1.81· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
20%
3-2
16%
0-3
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+0
H2H9-12
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.