7 Aug · 08:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DS
🇵🇱Dominik Solilo
ELO 1527
FormLWWLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Stapor
RS
🇵🇱Rafal Stapor
ELO 1543
FormWWLWL
48%
52%
🌟Stapor goes over total as favourite 67% (33)
Fair odds · Stapor
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 50% · 2.02· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~78 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
19%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+16
H2H5-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.