7 Aug · 08:00 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MP
🇵🇱Michal Paszkiewicz
ELO 1461
FormLLWWL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Lebek
ML
🇵🇱Marian Lebek
ELO 1555
FormWWWLL
40%
60%
🌟Paszkiewicz covers set handicap as underdog 92% (13)
Fair odds · Lebek
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 57% · 1.76· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~76 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
22%
3-1
16%
2-3
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+94
H2H26-17
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+94)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (26-17)