7 Aug · 08:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
KS
🇵🇱Karol Sulkowski
ELO 1321
FormLWWLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Sulkowski
BS
🇵🇱Bartosz Sulkowski
ELO 1371
FormLLWWL
45%
55%
Fair odds · Sulkowski
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 59% · 1.68· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
1-3
22%
3-1
18%
0-3
18%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+50
H2H22-18
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+50)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (22-18)