7 Aug · 08:25 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
RS
🇵🇱Rafal Skotniczny
ELO 1559
FormWLLWL
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Skotniczny
OV
🇵🇱Oliver Vincenec
ELO 1457
FormLWWLL
61%
39%
Fair odds · Skotniczny
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 63% · 1.58· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~78 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
22%
1-3
15%
3-2
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+102
H2H10-9
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+102)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (10-9)