7 Aug · 08:50 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MB
🇵🇱Marcin Balcerzak
ELO 1610
FormLWWLL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Balcerzak
DS
🇵🇱Dominik Solilo
ELO 1527
FormLWWLL
59%
41%
🌟Balcerzak goes over total as favourite 75% (16)
Fair odds · Balcerzak
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 67% · 1.49· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~76 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
19%
3-2
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+83
H2H11-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+83)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (11-1)