7 Aug · 09:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
RS
🇵🇱Rafal Stapor
ELO 1546
FormWWWLW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Stapor
AL
🇵🇱Aleksander Lilien
ELO 1477
FormLWLLL
58%
42%
🌟Stapor goes over total as favourite 67% (33)
Fair odds · Stapor
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 52% · 1.91· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~80 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+69
H2H2-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+69)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)