7 Aug · 09:10 MESZLow · Slight Edge
WT
🇵🇱Wojciech Tobiasz
ELO 1410
FormLWWLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Buczynski
WB
🇵🇱Witold Buczynski
ELO 1429
FormWLLWL
48%
52%
🌟Buczynski rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (17)
Fair odds · Buczynski
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~79 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
19%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+19
H2H11-19
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.