7 Aug · 11:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
BS
🇵🇱Bartosz Sulkowski
ELO 1376
FormWLLWW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Misiak
MM
🇵🇱Mateusz Misiak
ELO 1445
FormLWLLW
42%
58%
🔥 Underdog lean · Sulkowski🌟Sulkowski goes over total as underdog 75% (24)
Fair odds · Misiak
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 47% · 2.12· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~74 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+69
H2H16-23
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+69)