7 Aug · 10:45 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
WT
🇵🇱Wojciech Tobiasz
ELO 1420
FormWLWWL
68%Win chancemodel fair 1.47Gumulinski
PG
🇵🇱Piotr Gumulinski
ELO 1587
FormLLLWL
32%
68%
Fair odds · Gumulinski
Model 68% · 1.47vsMarket 65% · 1.54· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~79 pts
1-3
26%
0-3
25%
2-3
17%
3-1
13%
3-2
12%
Elo Gap+167
H2H7-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+167)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (7-4)