7 Aug · 10:20 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
ML
🇵🇱Marian Lebek
ELO 1554
FormLWWWW
69%Win chancemodel fair 1.45Lebek
MS
🇵🇱Mateusz Sikon
ELO 1374
FormLLLWW
69%
31%
Fair odds · Lebek
Model 69% · 1.45vsMarket 51% · 1.97· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 52%Total ~76 pts
3-1
27%
3-0
25%
3-2
17%
1-3
12%
2-3
11%
Elo Gap+180
H2H1-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+180)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)