7 Aug · 10:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PP
🇵🇱Pawel Polok
ELO 1600
FormWWWLW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Polok
RS
🇵🇱Rafal Skotniczny
ELO 1539
FormLLWLL
57%
43%
Fair odds · Polok
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 52% · 1.91· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
3-1
22%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+61
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+61)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)