7 Aug · 09:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
SK
🇵🇱Sebastian Krupa
ELO 1503
FormWWLLW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Krupa
WB
🇵🇱Witold Buczynski
ELO 1419
FormLWLLW
59%
41%
Fair odds · Krupa
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 57% · 1.75· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~77 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
19%
3-2
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+84
H2H1-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+84)