7 Aug · 12:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
BS
🇵🇱Bartosz Sulkowski
ELO 1370
FormLWLLW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Dabrowski
ID
🇵🇱Igor Dabrowski
ELO 1448
FormWLWLL
41%
59%
🌟Sulkowski goes over total as underdog 75% (24)
Fair odds · Dabrowski
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 51% · 1.96· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~77 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+78
H2H11-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+78)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (11-8)