7 Aug · 11:55 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
PG
🇵🇱Piotr Gumulinski
ELO 1577
FormLLLLW
67%Win chancemodel fair 1.49Gumulinski
WB
🇵🇱Witold Buczynski
ELO 1414
FormLLWLL
67%
33%
Fair odds · Gumulinski
Model 67% · 1.49vsMarket 62% · 1.61· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~78 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
25%
3-2
17%
1-3
13%
2-3
12%
Elo Gap+163
H2H9-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+163)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (9-7)