7 Aug · 11:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
GW
🇵🇱Grzegorz Wichowski
ELO 1619
FormWLLWW
70%Win chancemodel fair 1.43Wichowski
WT
🇵🇱Wojciech Tobiasz
ELO 1430
FormWWLWW
70%
30%
Fair odds · Wichowski
Model 70% · 1.43vsMarket 78% · 1.28· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 53%Total ~79 pts
3-1
27%
3-0
26%
3-2
17%
1-3
12%
2-3
11%
Elo Gap+189
H2H78-21
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+189)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (78-21)