7 Aug · 22:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MD
🇵🇱Michal Durda
ELO 1760
FormWWWWW
82%Win chancemodel fair 1.22Durda
PK
🇵🇱Pawel Kurek
ELO 1422
FormWLLLW
82%
18%
Fair odds · Durda
Model 82% · 1.22vsMarket 78% · 1.28· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 69%Total ~73 pts
3-0
41%
3-1
29%
3-2
12%
2-3
9%
1-3
6%
Elo Gap+338
H2H10-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+338)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (10-1)